Avalanche advisories will begin on December 7, 2013. We are collecting data currently, but your observations are very valuable to us. Please drop us a line with what you’re seeing out there. Email: email@example.com or call 406.261.9873.
The northern Rockies currently sit under a high pressure system. This will continue to cause cold, clear nights and sunny days in the mountains. Mid to upper elevation temperatures rose to the upper 20s to low 30s °F and winds have been out of the south at 5-25 mph the past few days.
This high pressure will continue through at least the first part of next week. The mountains will see notably warmer temperatures than the valleys under this weather regime.
These sunny days make for happy people, but the current pattern of cold, clear nights in the mountains could potentially be breeding our next weak layer. We observed surface hoar on the snow surface in the Marion Lake area yesterday as a result of these cold, clear nights. We are also seeing steep temperature gradients in the top few inches of the snowpack that are causing faceted snow grains to form (video). These facets as well as graupel are sitting on top of a variety of layers including crusts depending on aspect and elevation. Isolated wind slabs also exist at upper elevations.
These facets (both surface hoar and near surface facets) are currently not a problem in terms of stability. However, if these facets persist until our next snowfall event and we get a big enough load on top of these facets, then we could begin to see our next avalanche problem. We just need to wait and see how long this weather pattern persists and how these facets develop. Even though, we are devoid of snowfall at the moment, paying attention to the weather and snowpack and how it evolves is really important. Noting the spatial extent of the surface hoar (and any weak layer) now is very useful before it becomes buried and becomes a problem. We saw these facets in the northern Flathead Range and suspect they are elsewhere. So, if you’re seeing surface hoar in other places, let us know.
The mountains of northwest Montana have enough snow for avalanches to occur as well as form cornices. Cornices can form with enough wind even without snowfall. We’ve been seeing and receiving reports of the development of sizable cornices like in the Jewel Basin in the Swan Range (photo). Cornices demand respect and should be given a wide berth when traveling near them.
It is still early in the season and we are all a bit rusty with our avalanche gear and skills. Remember to check your beacon and replace the batteries, and make sure your shovel and probe are also in great working order. This is also a great time of year (and enough snow) to practice using your beacon.
We will update avalanche conditions as necessary until we begin our advisories on December 7. So, remember, please send us your observations. Be safe!
Avalanche advisories with hazard ratings will begin once we collect more data and gain a more thorough understanding of the snowpack. We are collecting data currently, but your observations are very valuable to us. Please drop us a line with what you are seeing out there. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org or call 406.758.5208.
A potent storm system continues to affect the mountains of northwest Montana. The Swan Range appears to be the big winner thus far with this storm. Noisy Basin SNOTEL site has recorded 2.8 inches of SWE and about 25 inches of snowfall in the past 24 hours (as of 7:00 p.m. Saturday night), and snow is still accumulating. Other remote weather stations and SNOTEL sites in the Whitefish Range and northern Flathead Range/southern Glacier Park are showing about 1 inch of SWE and 8-10 inches of snow accumulation in the past 24 hours.
Winds were mostly out of the south today at 5-20 mph, but switched direction to coming out of the north-northeast at most locations at 15-20 mph, but still out of the south at others. The infiltration of the arctic air mass dropping out of Canada has caused temperatures in the northern Flathead Range/southern Glacier Park to begin falling to 10-20° F.
Snow will continue through tonight and tomorrow. Most areas will potentially see another 6-10 inches tonight through Sunday. The Swan Range may see more than this amount through tomorrow. Temperatures will drop to 15-25° F tomorrow before the cold air mass begins to exit the region.
It is game on in regards to avalanches in the backcountry right now. The red flags for instability are all present: recent (and continuing) intense precipitation, wind, recent avalanche activity. We ventured into the Jewel Basin today and found over 2 feet of new snow thus far from this current storm. It was snowing all day (~1 inch/hour) and we saw evidence of natural avalanches on all aspects, cracking on steep slopes, and localized collapsing. We found an interface about 6-12 inches from the surface to be the layer at which these avalanches were occurring, and this was evident in our stability tests (video). However, with more snow and wind through at least Sunday, we could begin to see larger and more destructive avalanches over the next day or so.
It’s important to note that the Swan Range was favored in this storm and is, at this point, the only observations we have received/collected. The other mountain ranges also received a bit less snow than the Swan Range. Until we have more information about the snowpack in these other areas we will not issue hazard ratings.
Regardless of where you are traveling there is now certainly enough snow for avalanches to occur. Even if these avalanches are small, you can still go for a nasty ride. It is still the early season and we are all still a bit rusty with our avalanche gear and skills. Remember to check your beacon and replace the batteries, and make sure your shovel and probe are also in great working order. This is also a great time of year (and with enough snow) to practice using your beacon.
We will update avalanche conditions as necessary and will begin issuing advisories with hazard ratings once we have more data and information. So, remember, please send us your observations. Be safe!